pages: CommissiononPersonswithDisabilities/2016-06-08.pdf, 4
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CommissiononPersonswithDisabilities | 2016-06-08 | 4 | that's not really true. Because of the base closing, we've actually been very stable with population, and we're had a slight increase in housing units recently, but actually, it was a downturn after the base closure. And we've actually had a significant number of jobs increase in the past decade. Gail Payne: And when you compare it to other East Bay communities, we're on the low side when permitting housing units, and we're on the medium size when we look at density. And the reason why we really care about density is that if you're trying to get a really robust bus system, say in town, it actually runs better if you have more people around a bus station, because you can get more people on the bus within that quarter mile radius of what people really want to walk. And so we're a medium sized density community, and so we can probably support a medium sized bus system, which is really what we have, we're actually quite fortunate with what we have. The regional agencies, they have policies out there that say where they want to focus their development in the region, and these are called priority development areas. And we have two of these areas in the City of Alameda, one is the Northern waterfront area, which is along Clement Avenue by the Estuary, and the other area is Alameda Landing and Alameda Point in West Alameda. And that's indeed where the development is occurring, and expected to occur over the next 10 years. So, we're expected to have an increase of over 2,000 housing units and over, or almost 8,000 more jobs here in Alameda. Gail Payne: Most of the jobs will be going to Alameda Point, and the job growth is actually much higher at 30% than the Bay Area, over the next 10 years it's expected at only 11%. So, the third key concept out of the six is regional commute patterns are changing. We're having fewer auto commuters, and more people are commuting by transit in the region. And one of the factors is that millennials, folks who are younger, tend to be less apt to own cars, less apt to even get a driver's license. Young people, there's one study that said that 22% of young people never even plan on getting their driver's license. So this was, when I was a teenager, unheard of, we all got our driver's licenses the day after we turned, what was it? 16. So it's really different, it's a different generation. And we're seeing that they are expecting better bus systems, they are taking Ubers, and Lyfts, and doing bicycling, walking more so than any generation. Gail Payne: In Alameda, as I said, our population hasn't really grown that much, our housing units really haven't grown that much, but we are having the people who are here who have moved here are more apt to commute off island, 5,000 more off island commuters since 2005, there's a 20% increase. So that's one reason why we're seeing congestion. Also, there's more people, more commuters from Alameda going to San Francisco. In 2005, there were less than 5,000, now there's more than 7,000 going to San Francisco to work. And they're more apt to be working in San Mateo County, and Santa Clara County. So those are harder, more difficult commutes more people are taking from Alameda. And most people The two top destinations for where people work is Oakland, 8,000 people, and then 7,000 people going to San Francisco. The majority of people who work in Oakland drive alone, they get there by driving alone. The majority of people who work in San Francisco, they are less apt to drive alone, and only one out of five people commute to San Francisco by driving alone. Gail Payne: The fourth key concept out of the six, Alameda is a multimodal city. We actually outperform a lot of cities in the Bay Area, and around the country, when it comes to being multimodal. And we even outperform the Bay Area. And Berkeley and Oakland do actually much better than we do, especially with transit and bicycling for Berkeley. Some of the factors, opportunities, is that we have great geography, weather, we're flat, we have strong policies in place, 08/17/16 Page 4 of 19 | CommissiononPersonswithDisabilities/2016-06-08.pdf |